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	<title>Comments on: The Law of Medium Numbers</title>
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	<link>http://www.johndcook.com/blog/2010/02/25/the-law-of-medium-numbers/</link>
	<description>The blog of John D. Cook</description>
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		<title>By: yatsek</title>
		<link>http://www.johndcook.com/blog/2010/02/25/the-law-of-medium-numbers/comment-page-1/#comment-34287</link>
		<dc:creator>yatsek</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Mar 2010 22:33:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johndcook.com/blog/?p=4668#comment-34287</guid>
		<description>Hmm... inspiring post. Thanks for sharing. But...
What is the clue? Be prepared? Or there is something else?

Noticing that &quot;medium things are hard&quot; may be brain-teasing, interesting, but it &quot;just happens&quot; on your way in science (physics in my case). In science however you just move on. Solve some equations, make some generalization - if it is possible, or - like in this case - put sticker &quot;too hard to really invest my time&quot; and leave.

I would say that &quot;medium things&quot; are responsible for occurrence of &quot;butterfly effects&quot; - and THAT is important thing to see - on many levels.

If I would consider this three things: &quot;medium size&quot;, &quot;butterfly effect&quot; (caused by medium size), and IT (especially problems in IT) it&#039;s worth to see that in small system you just don&#039;t have enough domino pieces, and in really big there is enough other bricks on your way to stop bigger problems.

I&#039;m looking for some clue, but the only one which comes to my mind is just &quot;see it!&quot;. And maybe that&#039;s enough. Because when you see that you&#039;re going to fall into &quot;medium numbers&quot; field you know that either:
- you should split your problem into smaller parts
- or you should get bigger - gather more issues together

And that&#039;s probably clue I was looking for
Thanks for your post.

BR
Yatsek</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hmm&#8230; inspiring post. Thanks for sharing. But&#8230;<br />
What is the clue? Be prepared? Or there is something else?</p>
<p>Noticing that &#8220;medium things are hard&#8221; may be brain-teasing, interesting, but it &#8220;just happens&#8221; on your way in science (physics in my case). In science however you just move on. Solve some equations, make some generalization &#8211; if it is possible, or &#8211; like in this case &#8211; put sticker &#8220;too hard to really invest my time&#8221; and leave.</p>
<p>I would say that &#8220;medium things&#8221; are responsible for occurrence of &#8220;butterfly effects&#8221; &#8211; and THAT is important thing to see &#8211; on many levels.</p>
<p>If I would consider this three things: &#8220;medium size&#8221;, &#8220;butterfly effect&#8221; (caused by medium size), and IT (especially problems in IT) it&#8217;s worth to see that in small system you just don&#8217;t have enough domino pieces, and in really big there is enough other bricks on your way to stop bigger problems.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m looking for some clue, but the only one which comes to my mind is just &#8220;see it!&#8221;. And maybe that&#8217;s enough. Because when you see that you&#8217;re going to fall into &#8220;medium numbers&#8221; field you know that either:<br />
- you should split your problem into smaller parts<br />
- or you should get bigger &#8211; gather more issues together</p>
<p>And that&#8217;s probably clue I was looking for<br />
Thanks for your post.</p>
<p>BR<br />
Yatsek</p>
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		<title>By: Aaron Oliver</title>
		<link>http://www.johndcook.com/blog/2010/02/25/the-law-of-medium-numbers/comment-page-1/#comment-33821</link>
		<dc:creator>Aaron Oliver</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Mar 2010 12:55:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johndcook.com/blog/?p=4668#comment-33821</guid>
		<description>Thanks for sharing and for the great summary, John. I went ahead and tried to hash out how this might apply to software,  &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.codesoftly.com/2010/03/the-law-of-medium-software-projects.html&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;The Law of Medium Software Projects&lt;/a&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks for sharing and for the great summary, John. I went ahead and tried to hash out how this might apply to software,  <a href="http://www.codesoftly.com/2010/03/the-law-of-medium-software-projects.html" rel="nofollow">The Law of Medium Software Projects</a></p>
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		<title>By: John</title>
		<link>http://www.johndcook.com/blog/2010/02/25/the-law-of-medium-numbers/comment-page-1/#comment-33598</link>
		<dc:creator>John</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Feb 2010 02:58:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johndcook.com/blog/?p=4668#comment-33598</guid>
		<description>Thanks, Bill. You were right. I filled in the word I skipped.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks, Bill. You were right. I filled in the word I skipped.</p>
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		<title>By: Bill Mill</title>
		<link>http://www.johndcook.com/blog/2010/02/25/the-law-of-medium-numbers/comment-page-1/#comment-33594</link>
		<dc:creator>Bill Mill</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Feb 2010 02:50:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johndcook.com/blog/?p=4668#comment-33594</guid>
		<description>You&#039;re missing a word in there:

&quot;For medium number systems, we can expect that large fluctuations, irregularities, and discrepancy with any theory will more or less regularly.&quot;

I&#039;m guessing it&#039;s &quot;will *occur* more&quot;?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You&#8217;re missing a word in there:</p>
<p>&#8220;For medium number systems, we can expect that large fluctuations, irregularities, and discrepancy with any theory will more or less regularly.&#8221;</p>
<p>I&#8217;m guessing it&#8217;s &#8220;will *occur* more&#8221;?</p>
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